General evolution (2020/2021)

[abdul001]

yes I understand it
if we finish among 4-6
in the second round must finish in top 2
for depor to b in 3rd teir

[tonideportivoBG]

If we relegate from Segunda B I will start kicking the ball seriously once again in my life and will go to trials. Maybe will put Depor's shirt then

[Mr Pink]

Originally Posted by tonideportivoBG

If we relegate from Segunda B I will start kicking the ball seriously once again in my life and will go to trials. Maybe will put Depor's shirt then

If only I was 10/15 years younger, I would join you!!!

[abdul001]

we will not relegate by God Grace

[D.TRISTAN]

I saw a rumor that new board are trying to hire Mauro Silva. It was on Depor fan page in Instagram. Any more news about this?

[Marci 14]

Originally Posted by D.TRISTAN

I saw a rumor that new board are trying to hire Mauro Silva. It was on Depor fan page in Instagram. Any more news about this?

For what position? As a head coach it will be a stupid move. RDB should stay.

[american123]

It was to be a board member but he already said he is not coming at this time. He is already the VP of a team in Brazil and I don't think he would return unless he is the President and the team is out of the mess. Too often the solution for Depor has been to look at the past for answers in both players and coaches/directors. What we had in the late 90s and early 2000s was great but we are a different club in a different era of football and we need to move forward with new people.

[Marci 14]

I remember that back at November the RFEF claimed that no more games will be suspended due to covid19, and the affected team will automaticly lose the game. Well, now Ferrol already have two postponed game. They are a direct rival for us in the quest of the permance, so I would welcome if they lose the respective games.

[Marko]

Some mathematics before the last round.

Postponed games:
Coruxo - Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol - Guijuelo

Last round:
Deportivo - Zamora
Coruxo - Celta B
Unioinistas - Racing Ferrol
Guijelo - Pontevedra
Compostela - Salamanca

1. Zamora 30
2. Unionistas 29
3. Celta B 27
4. Racing Ferrol 26
5. Deportivo 26
6. Compostela 24
7. Pontevedra 21
8. Salamanca 18
9. Coruxo 17 (-1)
10. Guijuelo 9 (-1)

So, the best scenario for us is the one in which Coruxo beats Ferrol. Ferrol will probably beat Guijuelo.

1. Case (Coruxo beats Ferrol, Ferrol beat Guijuelo)

1. Zamora 30
2. Unionistas 29
3. Celta B 27
3. Racing Ferrol 26
4. Deportivo 26
5. Compostela 24
7. Pontevedra 21
8. Coruxo 20
9. Salamanca 18
10. Guijuelo 9

Zamora will be in the next round, so I suppose we will be big favourites.
Let's assume that we will win the game.

- If Celta B doesn't win against Coruxo, they will finish behind us.
Than, we should wait for the result of Unionistas - Ferrol.
If Ferrol doesn't win the game, than we are in the TOP 3.
If Ferrol wins, than we will have complicated situation.

In the mini table with Unionistas and Ferrol, we are having 7 points (2-1-1), Ferrol will have 6 (2-0-2) and Unionistas will have 4 points (1-1-2). So we will finish second on the table.

In other words, if Celta B doesn't win against Coruxo, and if we win the 3 points, we are surely in the Top 3.

If we draw against Zamora, than we should wait for Coruxo to beat Celta B, but on the other hand, Ferrol shouldn't win against Unionistas and Compostela shouldn't win against Salamanca, which is hard to expect.
So, if we doesn't win against Zamora, it's hardly believable that we will reach the TOP 3.

- If Celta B wins against Coruxo, they will finish above us, so we already have 2 teams that will finish above us (Zamora and Celta B). The only way that we will reach the TOP 3 in this case is if Ferrol wins against Unionistas.

2. Case (Ferrol wins both postponed games)

1. Zamora 30
2. Unionistas 29
3. Racing Ferrol 29
4. Celta B 27
5. Deportivo 26
6. Compostela 24
7. Pontevedra 21
8. Salamanca 18
9. Coruxo 17
10. Guijuelo 9

In this situation, we will need Ferrol to beat Unionistas and Celta B not to win against Coruxo. It's not that it's not possible, but still...

3. Case (Coruxo draws against Ferrol, Ferrol beat Guijuelo)

1. Zamora 30
2. Unionistas 29
3. Racing Ferrol 27
4. Celta B 27
5. Deportivo 26
6. Compostela 24
7. Pontevedra 21
8. Coruxo 18
9. Salamanca 18
10. Guijuelo 9

- If Celta B doesn't win against Coruxo. If Unionistas beat Ferrol, than we will need the win against Zamora. If we draw, Ferrol is the best in the mini table with us and Celta B. If Ferrol and Unionistas finish in draw, than we will be third with a win against Zamora. If Ferrol wins, than we will be third before the Unionistas. So, if Celta B doesn't win against Coruxo, we need the win to finish in the first 3 teams.

- if Celta B wins, than there is no chance for us.

So, we should cheer for Coruxo not to lose against Ferrol and Celta B. With a win against Zamora, we will still have chances for Segunda

[Deporlover]

Originally Posted by Marko

Some mathematics before the last round.

Postponed games:
Coruxo - Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol - Guijuelo

Last round:
Deportivo - Zamora
Coruxo - Celta B
Unioinistas - Racing Ferrol
Guijelo - Pontevedra
Compostela - Salamanca

1. Zamora 30
2. Unionistas 29
3. Celta B 27
4. Racing Ferrol 26
5. Deportivo 26
6. Compostela 24
7. Pontevedra 21
8. Salamanca 18
9. Coruxo 17 (-1)
10. Guijuelo 9 (-1)

So, the best scenario for us is the one in which Coruxo beats Ferrol. Ferrol will probably beat Guijuelo.

1. Case (Coruxo beats Ferrol, Ferrol beat Guijuelo)

1. Zamora 30
2. Unionistas 29
3. Celta B 27
3. Racing Ferrol 26
4. Deportivo 26
5. Compostela 24
7. Pontevedra 21
8. Coruxo 20
9. Salamanca 18
10. Guijuelo 9

Zamora will be in the next round, so I suppose we will be big favourites.
Let's assume that we will win the game.

- If Celta B doesn't win against Coruxo, they will finish behind us.
Than, we should wait for the result of Unionistas - Ferrol.
If Ferrol doesn't win the game, than we are in the TOP 3.
If Ferrol wins, than we will have complicated situation.

In the mini table with Unionistas and Ferrol, we are having 7 points (2-1-1), Ferrol will have 6 (2-0-2) and Unionistas will have 4 points (1-1-2). So we will finish second on the table.

In other words, if Celta B doesn't win against Coruxo, and if we win the 3 points, we are surely in the Top 3.

If we draw against Zamora, than we should wait for Coruxo to beat Celta B, but on the other hand, Ferrol shouldn't win against Unionistas and Compostela shouldn't win against Salamanca, which is hard to expect.
So, if we doesn't win against Zamora, it's hardly believable that we will reach the TOP 3.

- If Celta B wins against Coruxo, they will finish above us, so we already have 2 teams that will finish above us (Zamora and Celta B). The only way that we will reach the TOP 3 in this case is if Ferrol wins against Unionistas.

2. Case (Ferrol wins both postponed games)

1. Zamora 30
2. Unionistas 29
3. Racing Ferrol 29
4. Celta B 27
5. Deportivo 26
6. Compostela 24
7. Pontevedra 21
8. Salamanca 18
9. Coruxo 17
10. Guijuelo 9

In this situation, we will need Ferrol to beat Unionistas and Celta B not to win against Coruxo. It's not that it's not possible, but still...

3. Case (Coruxo draws against Ferrol, Ferrol beat Guijuelo)

1. Zamora 30
2. Unionistas 29
3. Racing Ferrol 27
4. Celta B 27
5. Deportivo 26
6. Compostela 24
7. Pontevedra 21
8. Coruxo 18
9. Salamanca 18
10. Guijuelo 9

- If Celta B doesn't win against Coruxo. If Unionistas beat Ferrol, than we will need the win against Zamora. If we draw, Ferrol is the best in the mini table with us and Celta B. If Ferrol and Unionistas finish in draw, than we will be third with a win against Zamora. If Ferrol wins, than we will be third before the Unionistas. So, if Celta B doesn't win against Coruxo, we need the win to finish in the first 3 teams.

- if Celta B wins, than there is no chance for us.

So, we should cheer for Coruxo not to lose against Ferrol and Celta B. With a win against Zamora, we will still have chances for Segunda

thank you man

[ggeorg]

Wow, that's a hell of work Marko


Already there are too many "ifs" to reach a top-3 spot, that will get us in a group of 30 teams, 4 of them will get to segunda.



So, mathematically, we might probably have a 1-2% chance of reaching segunda, but this game of "ifs" is fun in any case.



But if we keep on the current form, segunda b Pro is a very high probability.

[Marci 14]

Amazing job Marko!

During reading your calculations two things came to my mind
- despite Zamora already reached the second phase they need as many points as possible for thenext round in order to keep their dreams about promotion, so i don't think we are clear favourites
- too much depend on a crapy Coruxo, however Guijuelo might surprise Ferrol

[MrButton]

Coruxo - Ferrol scheduled for tomorrow at 12.30 GMT+1.

[MrButton]

With Ferrol suffering from several covid cases over the past couple of weeks, does anybody know if any key players will miss the game?

[ggeorg]

get the calculators


Coruxo-Racing Ferrol 1-0, min 10'

Edit: 2-0 before HT